{"id":92765,"date":"2024-08-22T14:17:55","date_gmt":"2024-08-22T11:17:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lovendal.ro\/wp52\/?p=92765"},"modified":"2024-08-22T14:17:55","modified_gmt":"2024-08-22T11:17:55","slug":"un-nou-studiu-stiintific-spune-clar-sunt-foarte-mici-sanse-sa-putem-detecta-civilizatii-extraterestre-avansate-pe-unde-se-ascund-extraterestrii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lovendal.ro\/wp52\/un-nou-studiu-stiintific-spune-clar-sunt-foarte-mici-sanse-sa-putem-detecta-civilizatii-extraterestre-avansate-pe-unde-se-ascund-extraterestrii\/","title":{"rendered":"Un nou studiu \u015ftiin\u0163ific spune clar: &#8222;Sunt foarte mici \u015fanse s\u0103 putem detecta civiliza\u0163ii extraterestre avansate&#8221;. Pe unde se ascund extratere\u015ftrii?"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_92766\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-92766\" style=\"width: 357px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lovendal.ro\/wp52\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/singuri-pe-Terra.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-92766\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lovendal.ro\/wp52\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/singuri-pe-Terra.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"367\" height=\"221\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.lovendal.ro\/wp52\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/singuri-pe-Terra.jpg 539w, https:\/\/www.lovendal.ro\/wp52\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/singuri-pe-Terra-300x181.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 367px) 100vw, 367px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-92766\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Imagine: pixabay.com<\/strong> (Commons Creative &#8211; free)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>C\u0103utarea inteligen\u021bei extraterestre (SETI) a captivat de mult\u0103 vreme imagina\u021bia uman\u0103, inspir\u00e2nd cercetarea \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103 \u0219i cultura popular\u0103. Cu toate acestea, Dr. Kipping \u0219i Dr. Lewis, autorii unui nou studiu \u015ftiin\u0163ific, sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103 \u0219ansele de a localiza o civiliza\u021bie extraterestr\u0103 avansat\u0103 din punct de vedere tehnologic sunt mult mai mici dec\u00e2t se credea anterior. \u015ei asta din cauza unei &#8222;ferestre \u00eenguste de detectare&#8221;, determinat\u0103 de ratele necunoscute la care aceste civiliza\u0163ii apar \u0219i dispar.<\/p>\n<p>\u00cen cadrul studiului, cercet\u0103torii au explorat distribu\u021bia anterioar\u0103 de probabilitate a lui Haldane pentru a estima cantitatea incert\u0103 de via\u021b\u0103 extraterestr\u0103 din Univers \u0219i probabilitatea statistic\u0103 de a putea detecta inteligen\u021ba extraterestr\u0103. Pe baza acestor calcule, cercet\u0103torii sus\u021bin c\u0103 rata natalit\u0103\u021bii posibilelor civiliza\u021bii extraterestre reprezint\u0103 o provocare semnificativ\u0103, care le-ar putea limita existen\u021ba la o marj\u0103 \u00eengust\u0103 de detectabilitate. Studiul introduce, de asemenea, o nou\u0103 perspectiv\u0103 asupra <strong>Ecua\u021biei Drake<\/strong>, o formul\u0103 bine-cunoscut\u0103 dezvoltat\u0103 pentru a estima num\u0103rul de civiliza\u021bii extraterestre active \u0219i comunicative din Calea Lactee. Potrivit cercet\u0103torilor, ecua\u021bia, de\u0219i util\u0103 pentru a ne organiza ignoran\u021ba cu privire la variabilele implicate, poate explica doar par\u021bial complexit\u0103\u021bile apari\u021biei \u0219i dispari\u021biei civiliza\u021biilor. La baza argumentului Dr. Kipping \u0219i Lewis se afl\u0103 conceptul de formalism &#8222;na\u0219tere-moarte&#8221;, o versiune simplificat\u0103 a ecua\u021biei lui Drake care comprim\u0103 numeroasele sale variabile \u00een doi factori principali: rata la care apar civiliza\u021biile (rata na\u0219terii) \u0219i ritmul cu care dispar (rata mor\u021bii).<\/p>\n<p>Examin\u00e2nd aceste rate, studiul sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103 probabilitatea existen\u021bei unei civiliza\u021bii detectabile \u00een fereastra noastr\u0103 de observa\u021bie este legat\u0103 de rela\u021bia dintre aceste rate de na\u0219tere \u0219i rate de deces. Cercet\u0103torii sus\u021bin c\u0103, dac\u0103 ratele de mortalitate ale civiliza\u021biilor sunt mari, adic\u0103 tind s\u0103 dispar\u0103 relativ repede, \u0219ansele de a detecta una \u00een timpul fazei lor de comunicare sunt extrem de sc\u0103zute. Cercet\u0103torii subliniaz\u0103: <em>&#8222;\u00cen cea mai mare parte a istoriei P\u0103m\u00e2ntului, acestuia \u00eei lipse\u0219te chiar \u0219i via\u021ba multicelular\u0103, cu at\u00e2t mai pu\u021bin o civiliza\u021bie tehnologic\u0103&#8221;<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Studiul abordeaz\u0103, de asemenea, conceptul problemei de <strong>&#8222;ajustare fin\u0103&#8221;<\/strong>, care presupune c\u0103, pentru ca s\u0103 existe o probabilitate mare de a detecta civiliza\u021bii extraterestre, Universul trebuie reglat fin pentru ca aceste civiliza\u021bii s\u0103 existe \u00eentr-un echilibru delicat. Cu toate acestea, cercet\u0103torii avertizeaz\u0103 \u00eempotriva acestui optimism, observ\u00e2nd c\u0103 o astfel de ajustare pare pu\u021bin probabil\u0103, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere vastitatea \u0219i variabilitatea Cosmosului. Explor\u00e2nd aceast\u0103 dilem\u0103, studiul introduce ideea &#8222;<strong>ecua\u021biei Drake \u00een stare sta\u021bionar\u0103 (SSD)<\/strong>&#8222;, care ia \u00een considerare capacitatea de transport a galaxiei, adic\u0103 num\u0103rul maxim de civiliza\u021bii pe care le poate g\u0103zdui la un moment dat. Conform ecua\u021biei SSD, dac\u0103 rata natalit\u0103\u021bii a civiliza\u021biilor este sc\u0103zut\u0103 \u0219i rata mortalit\u0103\u021bii ridicat\u0103, galaxia ar avea foarte pu\u021bine &#8211; dac\u0103 ar exista &#8211; civiliza\u021bii detectabile la un moment dat. Studiul indic\u0103: <em>&#8222;Curba de cre\u0219tere este \u00een form\u0103 de S, satur\u00e2nd la capacitatea de suport pentru rate mari natalitate\/deces \u0219i tinde spre zero la cealalt\u0103 extrem\u0103. Sus\u021binem c\u0103 observa\u021biile noastre astronomice par incompatibile cu un Cosmos saturat cu inteligen\u0163e extraterestre&#8221;<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Pe scurt, Dr. Kipping \u0219i Dr. Lewis ne spun c\u0103 aceast\u0103 curb\u0103 de cre\u0219tere \u00een form\u0103 de S a unei civiliza\u021bii extraterestre \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103, dac\u0103 nu avem norocul s\u0103 c\u0103ut\u0103m \u00eentr-o perioad\u0103 \u00een care multe civiliza\u021bii sunt active simultan, probabilitatea de a le detecta este extrem de sc\u0103zut\u0103. Aceast\u0103 no\u021biune contest\u0103 viziunea adesea optimist\u0103 a unor membri ai comunit\u0103\u021bii \u0219tiin\u021bifice conform c\u0103reia Universul este probabil plin de via\u021b\u0103 inteligent\u0103. De\u0219i studiul recunoa\u0219te posibilitatea unui Cosmos &#8222;aglomerat&#8221;, subliniaz\u0103, de asemenea, c\u0103 observa\u021biile actuale par mai consistente cu un Univers \u00een mare parte gol. Cercet\u0103torii abordeaz\u0103 \u0219i a\u0219a-numita ipotez\u0103 <strong>&#8222;Marele Filtru&#8221;<\/strong>, care sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103 ar putea exista o etap\u0103 \u00een dezvoltarea vie\u021bii inteligente care este extrem de greu de dep\u0103\u0219it, ceea ce ar explica absen\u021ba aparent\u0103 a civiliza\u021biilor extraterestre.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sursa:<\/strong> studiul \u015ftiin\u0163ific <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2407.07097\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>&#8222;Do SETI Optimists Have a Fine-Tuning Problem?&#8221; \/ arxiv.org<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>C\u0103utarea inteligen\u021bei extraterestre (SETI) a captivat de mult\u0103 vreme imagina\u021bia uman\u0103, inspir\u00e2nd cercetarea \u0219tiin\u021bific\u0103 \u0219i cultura popular\u0103. Cu toate acestea, Dr. Kipping \u0219i Dr. Lewis, autorii unui nou studiu \u015ftiin\u0163ific, sugereaz\u0103 c\u0103 \u0219ansele de a localiza o civiliza\u021bie extraterestr\u0103 avansat\u0103 &#8230; <\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more-container\"><a title=\"Un nou studiu \u015ftiin\u0163ific spune clar: &#8222;Sunt foarte mici \u015fanse s\u0103 putem detecta civiliza\u0163ii extraterestre avansate&#8221;. Pe unde se ascund extratere\u015ftrii?\" class=\"read-more button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lovendal.ro\/wp52\/un-nou-studiu-stiintific-spune-clar-sunt-foarte-mici-sanse-sa-putem-detecta-civilizatii-extraterestre-avansate-pe-unde-se-ascund-extraterestrii\/#more-92765\" aria-label=\"Cite\u0219te mai multe despre Un nou studiu \u015ftiin\u0163ific spune clar: &#8222;Sunt foarte mici \u015fanse s\u0103 putem detecta civiliza\u0163ii extraterestre avansate&#8221;. Pe unde se ascund extratere\u015ftrii?\">Cititi mai multe<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":92766,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[106],"tags":[1405,1027,17525,18753,433,105,515,9803,1087,366],"class_list":["post-92765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-stiinta","tag-calea-lactee","tag-civilizatie","tag-civilizatie-extraterestra","tag-ecuatia-drake","tag-galaxie","tag-pamant","tag-seti","tag-stiinta","tag-univers","tag-viata","resize-featured-image"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.3 (Yoast SEO v27.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Un nou studiu \u015ftiin\u0163ific spune clar: &quot;Sunt foarte mici \u015fanse s\u0103 putem detecta civiliza\u0163ii extraterestre avansate&quot;. 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